Cancer most commonly develops in older people; 78% of all cancer
diagnoses are in people 55 years of age or older. People who smoke, eat an
unhealthy diet, or are physically inactive also have a higher risk of cancer.
Cancer researchers use the word “risk” in different ways, most commonly
expressing risk as lifetime risk or relative risk. Lifetime risk refers to the
probability that an individual will develop or die from cancer over the course
of a lifetime. In the US, the lifetime risk of developing cancer is higher in
men (slightly less than 1 in 2) than for women (a little more than 1 in 3).
These probabilities are estimated based on the overall experience of the
general population and may overestimate or underestimate individual risk
because of differences in exposures (e.g., smoking), family history, and/or
genetic susceptibility. Relative risk is a measure of the strength of the
relationship between a risk factor and cancer. It compares the risk of
developing cancer in people with a certain exposure or trait to the risk in
people who do not have this characteristic. For example, men and women who
smoke are about 25 times more likely to develop lung cancer than nonsmokers, so
their relative risk is 25. Most relative risks are not this large. For example,
women who have one first-degree relative (mother, sister, or daughter) with a
history of breast cancer are about twice as likely to develop breast cancer as
women who do not have this family history; in other words, their relative risk
is about 2. For most types of cancer, risk is higher with a family history of
the disease. It is now thought that many familial cancers arise not exclusively
from genetic makeup, but from the interplay between common gene variations and
lifestyle and environmental risk factors. Only a small proportion of cancers
are strongly hereditary, in that an inherited genetic alteration confers a very
high risk.
How Many People Alive Today Have Ever Had Cancer?
Nearly 14.5 million Americans with a history of cancer were alive on January 1, 2014. Some of these individuals were diagnosed recently and are actively undergoing treatment, while others were diagnosed many years ago with no current evidence of cancer.
How Many New Cases Are Expected to Occur This Year?
About 1,658,370 new cancer cases are expected to be diagnosed in 2015. This estimate does not include carcinoma in situ (noninvasive cancer) of any site except urinary bladder, nor does it include basal cell or squamous cell skin cancers, which are not required to be reported to cancer registries.
How Many People Are Expected to Die of Cancer This Year?
In 2026, about
589,430 Americans are expected to die of cancer, or about 1,620 people
per day. Cancer is the second most common cause of death in the US,
exceeded only by heart disease, and accounts for nearly 1 of every 4
deaths
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